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Opelka, Reilly vs Alcaraz, Carlos

Expert Overview: Opelka vs Alcaraz

The upcoming match between Reilly Opelka and Carlos Alcaraz on August 26, 2025, promises to be an intriguing encounter between two contrasting styles of play. Opelka, known for his towering presence and powerful serve, will face off against the versatile and aggressive Alcaraz, who has consistently demonstrated his ability to dominate on both clay and hard courts. This clash of styles sets the stage for a highly anticipated match that could go either way, depending on several key factors such as serve effectiveness and baseline exchanges.

Opelka, Reilly

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Alcaraz, Carlos

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Date: 2025-08-26
Time: 01:55
(FT)
Venue: US Open Arthur Ashe
Score: 0-3

Predictions:

MarketPredictionOddResult
Over 1st Set Games62.70%(0-3) 4-6 1st Set 1.50
Total Games 2-Way (Over 22.5)76.60%(0-3)
Under 1st Set Games59.80%(0-3) 4-6 1st Set 1.40
Tie Break in 1st Set (No)73.10%(0-3)
Under 2.5 Sets69.60%(0-3)
Over 3.5 Sets57.40%(0-3)
Tie Break in Match (Yes)51.90%(0-3)

Betting Predictions

Set Games Analysis

With a prediction of 62.70 for over 1st Set Games, there’s a strong likelihood that the opening set will feature a high number of games. This could be attributed to Opelka’s potential to hold his service games with ease, allowing the set to extend. Conversely, the under 1st Set Games at 59.80 suggests a scenario where Alcaraz could break serve early, leading to a shorter set.

Total Games Considerations

The total games 2-way (over 22.5) at 76.60 indicates an expectation of a relatively long match in terms of games played. This aligns with the possibility of extended rallies and competitive exchanges between the players, especially if Alcaraz manages to neutralize Opelka’s serve with effective returns.

Tie Break Scenarios

The tie break in the 1st Set is predicted at 73.10 (No), suggesting that one player might dominate enough to avoid a tie break. However, with a tie break in the match predicted at 51.90 (Yes), it is anticipated that at least one tie break will occur during the match, possibly in the second set or later.

Set Count Projections

With an under 2.5 sets prediction at 69.60 and over 3.5 sets at 57.40, there’s an expectation of a match that could extend beyond three sets. This reflects the potential for a closely contested battle where both players’ resilience and strategic adjustments will play crucial roles.