Expert Analysis: Derby County vs Millwall
The upcoming clash between Derby County and Millwall is expected to be a competitive match with significant betting opportunities. With an average total goal expectation of 3.99, the match is anticipated to be high-scoring. Both teams have shown a tendency to score, with an 84.40% chance of over 0.5 goals in the first half, and a 71.00% probability that both teams will find the net during the game. This suggests a dynamic and open contest.
Derby County
Millwall
(FT)
Predictions:
| Market | Prediction | Odd | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Goals HT | 86.80% | (1-1) 0-0 1H 1.50 | |
| Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half | 76.10% | (1-1) 0-0 1H 1.17 | |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71.60% | (1-1) 1.43 | |
| Home Team To Score In 2nd Half | 70.40% | (1-1) | |
| Both Teams Not To Score In 2nd Half | 69.10% | (1-1) 1-1 2H 1.29 | |
| Under 5.5 Cards | 66.60% | (1-1) 5 cards 1.18 | |
| Both Teams To Score | 70.00% | (1-1) 2.00 | |
| Away Team Not To Score In 1st Half | 57.60% | (1-1) | |
| Away Team To Score In 2nd Half | 55.30% | (1-1) | |
| Last Goal 73+ Minutes | 51.70% | (1-1) 88' min 1.83 | |
| Goal In Last 15 Minutes | 54.30% | (1-1) | |
| Under 4.5 Cards | 49.50% | (1-1) 5 cards 1.43 | |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50.50% | (1-1) 1.67 | |
| First Goal Between Minute 0-29 | 52.00% | (1-1) 1.83 | |
| Avg. Total Goals | 3.39% | (1-1) | |
| Yellow Cards | 3.71% | (1-1) | |
| Avg. Conceded Goals | 1.72% | (1-1) | |
| Avg. Goals Scored | 2.76% | (1-1) | |
| Red Cards | 1.56% | (1-1) |
The likelihood of over 1.5 goals stands at 77.00%, further indicating a potential for multiple goals being scored throughout the match. However, there is also a reasonable chance (65.20%) that neither team will score in the second half, which could add an intriguing twist to the latter stages of the game.
Betting Insights
- Over 0.5 Goals HT: With an odds of 84.40, betting on over 0.5 goals in the first half seems promising given both teams’ offensive capabilities.
- Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half: Odds at 77.00 suggest a balanced possibility, reflecting defensive resilience that might keep the scoreline tight initially.
- Over 1.5 Goals: At 77.00, this bet aligns well with the predicted high-scoring nature of the game.
- Home Team To Score In 2nd Half: Odds are set at 69.50, indicating Derby County may have a strong chance to capitalize in the latter part of the match.
- Both Teams Not To Score In 2nd Half: Despite expectations for goals, there’s a 65.20% chance of a goalless second half, adding an element of unpredictability.
- Under 5.5 Cards: With odds at 68.90, betting on fewer cards aligns with the anticipated competitive but disciplined nature of the match.
- Both Teams To Score: At odds of 71.00, this is a popular bet reflecting both teams’ scoring trends.
- Away Team Not To Score In 1st Half: Odds are set at 57.50, suggesting Millwall may struggle offensively early on.
- Away Team To Score In 2nd Half: Odds at 57.30 indicate Millwall could respond strongly after halftime.
- Last Goal Between Minutes 73-90: Odds at 51.40 highlight potential drama towards the end, with a significant likelihood of late goals.
- Goal In Last 15 Minutes: With odds at 55.80, this bet emphasizes possible late-game excitement.
- Under 4.5 Cards: Odds are at 51.80, reflecting an expectation of controlled aggression without excessive bookings.
- Under 2.5 Goals: At odds of 51.80, this bet suggests cautious optimism for fewer goals than expected.
- First Goal Between Minute 0-29: Odds stand at 49.50, indicating early goal anticipation based on both teams’ attacking styles.
Predictions
Given these insights, expect an eventful match with potential for early goals and late drama. Derby County’s likelihood to score in the second half and Millwall’s chances to respond suggest both teams will capitalize on their attacking prowess.
Cards and Discipline
With an average of yellow cards at 3.71 and red cards at just 0.26, it is likely that while there may be some bookings, outright dismissals should be minimal.
Average Goals Analysis
- Average Goals Scored: Derby County averages around 2.76 goals per match, which aligns well with their aggressive approach and home advantage.
- Average Conceded Goals: Millwall’s defense has conceded an average of approximately 2.32 goals per game, indicating potential vulnerabilities against strong opponents like Derby County.